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Early Polling in Iowa

Iowa is considered one of the most important states to win if you want to get your parties nomination. Historically speaking about half of the presidential candidates who have won Iowa, win their parties nomination. If you win, you'll get more press which in turn gives you a boost. Now, what it also does is show who's who and who's not going anywhere.

Anyways, while the primary isn't until February 1 there has been some polling done around candidates. This is subject to change of course and isn't the most accurate opinion of public opinion. But it is a good indicator of what some voters are thinking at the moment.

There are two things that surprise me about this poll. One is that Pete Buttigieg is in the third-place position. This does not align with national polls, but Iowa isn't a good representative in terms of demographics. Two is that Biden is in fourth place, but is supposed to be the front runner of the race. Again, polls are not indicators of how everyone will vote but still, this is surprising news.

The Biden camp has a lot of work to do if they want to catch up to Warren or Sanders. I think this may be a sign of his campaign losing steam, but only time will tell.

Comments

  1. Sara SlinkerNovember 6, 2019 at 8:28 PM

    Being from Iowa, and having participated in the Iowa caucuses for the 2016 election I can say that it was one of the coolest experiences I have been involved in when it comes to politics. I am actually planning on going home the weekend of the caucus in February just so I can participate again! I think it is very interesting that Iowa, a significantly smaller state that isn't super representational of all of the US plays such an important role in electing our next president.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ethan RexerNovember 10, 2019 at 3:06 PM

      That's awesome Sara, I would love to get out there and see it in action one day!

      Delete

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